Archive for the 'Trends' Category

Unfollow people on Twitter: it’s good for you

Since my first Tweet in April 2007, I've been using the service in different ways. In that time, my career has changed; the people using it are now beyond the early-adopted tech crowd which dominated when I first started using it; and more significantly, Twitter has added new functionality that has changed the pattern of usage.

In other words, I've changed; the people around me have changed; and the service has changed. So with that in mind, I'm asking myself now how should I use Twitter now? It's become a new communications paradigm, and so our personal evolution in using it is an interesting thing to consider for the future of communications.

What has Twitter become
Put simply, people and companies use it to connect with other people. Not only that, but its become a means to discover information and people. The discussions on it have allowed communities to emerge (and organise), trends to be noticed, and people to be identified. Its created the social melebrity - the term I give to the trend of "micro-celebrities" - and created a new avenue to the consultant (online self-promotion), researcher (uncovering trends and breaking information), and business development manager (discovery of opportunities), among others

What's different about Twitter now
Twitter was implicitly designed to encourage a gaming of human psychology based on the number of followers you had. The more followers, the more perceived status an account had and by extension a person or company. This status created perceived influence and authority - which in some ways was true, but true or not is not the point: it was enough of a motivator to get people thinking constantly "how can I get more followers", a brilliant state of mind from the perspective of a profit-making company benefiting from usage.

Several new features have since emerged, one of which is lists. Lists themselves have become another way Twitter, inc has been able to game its user-base as it implies a sense of status. But from a user point of view, its also become a great new way to track people stream's, which at core is what Twitter is meant to be about.

Foe anyone that follows a lot of people, tracking every Tweet can be impossible. I now hover around the 500 mark of people that I 'follow', but the reality is, I don't actually follow them in the true sense of the world: only in the off-chance I check-into Twitter to see what's happening. 'Following' these days is not a reflection of my engagement with that person, but simply, my interest (once upon a time).

Thinking about value
With all the above in mind, let's now answer the question of who should you follow. Should it be people you're interested in following, like how it's always been no? I say nope to that, and here's why.

I get no benefit following someone who is not following me back, other than the initial notification someone gets that I've followed them (and which I know can be quite successful as a marketing tool). The value we get, is if they follow us back, is the fact we can directly message each other. And this has real value: I know people who are impossible to reach via email, myself included sometimes, because of email overload. But, if someone sends you a direct message via Twitter - it can come to you via email, IM and SMS. And the conciseness of the message makes the communication more direct and pointed (a benefit in itself). It's an efficient way of reaching busy people.

On the other hand, there is a real cost following someone who doesn't follow you back. If you have an account where you follow more people than follow you, you are considered a spam account in the eyes of other users. If you follow more than a certain amount of people - say a few hundred - then you are not considered (rightfully) engaged in that person. And let's not forget the cost to your attention: you get more value out of the Twitter stream when you can consume more of it - meaning, the less accounts you follow, the more engaged you are.

So what's my point? Unfollow people and start using lists. Don't be gamed by the Twitter communications platform, and start thinking about what value it can provide to you in your life.

A billion dollar opportunity with video

When Google made an offer for On2, I was dumbfounded. I wrote to a friend working at Google the following:

Phat. But I'm confused. How does Google benefit by making the codec free? I understand Google's open culture, but for 100million, really? They help the world, but what's the incentive for Google? (Other than of course, controlling it).

The reply: "incentive = greater adoption of HTML 5 = apps are written for HTML 5 = apps can be monetized using Adsense".

Interesting perspective from a smart Googler who had no real insider information. But no cigar.

Newsteevee posted a follow up article today on what Google is going to do with this technology, quoting the Free Software Foundation. What really made me get thinking was this (emphasis mine:

Google’s Open Source Programs Manager Chris DiBona had previously argued that Ogg Theora would need codec quality and encoding efficiency improvements before a site as big as YouTube could use it as its default video codec. The FSF now writes in its letter that it never agreed with these positions, but that Google must have faith in VP8 being a better codec if it invested its money in it (Google spent a total of about $133 million on ON2).

The open source advocacy group apparently realized that Google wouldn’t switch codecs from one day to another, which is why it suggests a number of smaller steps to make VP8 mainstream. “You could interest users with HD videos in free formats, for example, or aggressively invite users to upgrade their browsers (instead of upgrading Flash),” the letter reads, adding that this would eventually lead to users not bothering to install Flash on their computers.

Think about that for a second: video on the web finally becomes free for real and open, becoming a core infrastructure to the online world - but the default is crappy. Don't like crappy? Well Mr and Ms consumer, if you want High Definition, you need to pay for a subscription to a premium codec by the already dominate Adobe or another rising star. Assuming you get the whole word watching video and only 1% convert - holy crap, isn't that a brilliant business model?

Bono, the lead singer of the band U2 wrote in an op-ed piece in the New York Times the following recently:

The only thing protecting the movie and TV industries from the fate that has befallen music and indeed the newspaper business is the size of the files"

Simple but profound insight from the famed entertainer. So with this fairly obvious logic, why isn't the movie industry (backed by Google and Apple) innovating business models in this area? Value comes from scarcity - and quality is the best way of doing it. The reason why box office sales and Blu-ray broke a record in 2009, is because the quality is worth the premium for consumers.

What's the incentive for Google, to answer my own question? The return on investment to be associated with a default open technology that you give the option to upgrade to users, is a billion dollar business waiting to happen. Doing no evil to the world and securing future growth at the same time sounds like a Google business in the making,

One word explains the Google superbowl ad: Bing

Google, a company that used to pride itself on the fact it never had to advertise, put an ad in the mother-of-all advertising slots: during the Superbowl, the most expensive time you can advertise in television. And this was posted on the official Google blog by the CEO Eric Schmidt, a man that doesn't all that often post to the company blog.

Why did it break tradition, with this cute emotional-brand-building ad? Because Google now has for the first time a real competitor, in the rising Bing - Microsoft's rebranded search engine boosted by the $100 million Powerset acquisition. Bing's search technology may still lag far behind, but it's certainly ringing a bell on the marketing side and growing quite healthily as a result. And as well all know, the reason we search is less because we think it's better technology, but more so because of the importance we place on the brand that we feel comfort in.

Google's ad was cute. But capitalism is all about self-interest, and for the few million Google had to spend on this seemingly non-informative ad, what management are thinking is quite clear to me. That being, Google's trying to revamp the emotional attachment we have with the world's most loved brand. But more tellingly, from the very top, Google's scared as hell and is now protecting what they know matters the most in the search engine wars: the emotional connection to a brand.